Scientists from Ufa created Aurora forecasting model
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Scientists from Ufa created Aurora forecasting model

January 19, 2023

Development will help manage complex technical objects.

#ARCTIC. #SIBERIA. THIS IS TAIMYR. A group of scientists from Ufa University, the Geophysical Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Physics of the Earth of the Russian Academy of Sciences has developed a virtual model that allows you to observe and predict aurora and other extreme geophysical events in the high-latitude regions of the planet.

Young promising scientists from the Faculty of Informatics and Robotics of the Ufa University of Science and Technology, Doctors of Technical Sciences, professors Andrey and Gulnara Vorobyov, took part in the system development, Molodezhnaya Gazeta reports.

The idea appeared at the beginning of 2019 at the Plasma Physics in the Solar System annual conference, and by mid-2020 the first prototype of the service had already been developed and launched. The project successful implementation requires a wide range of specialists in the field of geophysics, solar-terrestrial physics, mathematics, programmers, data analysts, testers.

The aurora borealis is not only one of the most mesmerizing natural phenomena. The captivating illumination is capable of interfering with the operation of technical systems of high-latitude infrastructure, causing errors in navigation systems, interference on short-wave radio communication lines, and failures in automation systems of high-latitude railways and other automated complexes.

The system collects data from satellites 1.5 million kilometers from Earth. Based on space weather data, the radiation of energy in the Northern and Southern hemispheres is calculated, and the probability of observing auroras and their intensity are determined from them. The data is updated every five minutes.

“First of all, the practical benefit lies in the fact that the online aurora observation system provides a unique opportunity to predict extreme geophysical events in the Arctic zone of Russia, which means that it has become possible to make more informed decisions when managing complex technical facilities operating beyond the polar circle”, says project manager Andrey Vorobyov.

The project was implemented with the support of grants from the Russian Science Foundation and the Project Office for the Development of the Arctic and won the Esri competition among web applications in 2022.

Previously, scientists found an ice age ecosystem near Norilsk. This Is Taimyr also wrote about the northern lights activity periods at the Norilsk latitude.

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Text: Denis Kozhevnikov, Photo: Alexander Haritonov

January 19, 2023

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